XRP has experienced heightened volatility over the past several days, reflecting a clash between selling pressure and long-term accumulation.
Price swings have remained contained, but recovery remains uncertain as investors react differently to shifting market conditions. Despite these challenges, XRP has managed to preserve its broader uptrend since the start of 2026.
XRP Holders Exhibit Mixed Sentiment
Selling pressure has been a clear headwind for XRP this month. Exchange balance data shows that XRP holdings on centralized platforms have increased by roughly 206 million tokens since January began. Total exchange balances now stand near 1.66 billion XRP, signaling sustained distribution.
At current prices, this movement represents approximately $430 million worth of XRP being positioned for sale in less than two weeks. Such consistent inflows to exchanges often reflect waning confidence among short-term participants. If this behavior persists, it could weigh on price by increasing near-term supply.
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XRP Balance On Exchanges”> XRP Balance On Exchanges. Source: Glassnode
This pattern suggests many investors are opting to de-risk rather than hold through uncertainty. Elevated exchange balances typically coincide with profit-taking or defensive positioning. For XRP, this selling has so far capped upside momentum, even as the price avoids deeper declines.
While short-term selling remains evident, longer-term metrics paint a more balanced picture. The HODLer Net Position Change has been printing stronger green bars since early January. This indicates that long-term holders are accumulating or holding rather than distributing.
This behavioral shift among older wallets has helped absorb a portion of the sell-side pressure. Long-term holders often act as stabilizers during volatile phases, limiting downside moves. Their conviction has increased since 2026 began, counteracting the impact of exchange inflows.
XRP HODLer Position Change.”> XRP HODLer Position Change. Source: Glassnode
XRP Price Uptrend Continues
XRP trades near $2.11 at the time of writing, holding above the key $2.10 support level. Price action has respected an upward structure since the beginning of the month. Maintaining this level remains critical for preserving the current trend.
Mixed signals suggest XRP could continue forming higher lows over time. However, if selling pressure intensifies, the token may enter a consolidation phase. In that scenario, the price would likely range between $2.10 support and $2.20 resistance.
XRP Price Analysis.”> XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
A more bullish outcome depends on sellers stepping back. If exchange inflows slow and demand improves, XRP could bounce from $2.10 and reclaim $2.20. A confirmed break would open the path toward $2.31. Recovering losses from November 2025 near $2.50 remains possible, though it may require patience and sustained accumulation.
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